Source: Earth Sciences New Zealand
Earth Sciences New Zealand’s Seasonal Climate Outlook for June to August 2026 is attached.
Highlights:
– The heavy rain events New Zealand has experienced over the past year are expected to become less frequent over the coming months. Areas impacted by these events are expected to shift to drier-than-usual conditions. These drier-than-usual conditions could create challenges for water-reliant sectors.
– Rainfall totals are likely to be near or below normal for the north of the South Island and the west of the North Island, and below normal for the remainder of the North Island and the east of the South Island.
– There is now a 95% chance of El Niño conditions emerging over the forecast period and peaking in the summer months, with potential for significant impacts (see https://news.fuseworksmedia.com/24f462bf-ab9e-4886-b254-5c963367562e).