Source: NIWA
The Seasonal Climate Outlook for May – July.
Highlights:
– El Niño is expected to ease to ENSO neutral by the end of May
– However, global atmospheric patterns favour a continuation of higher than normal air pressure around New Zealand
– May is expected to feature rounds of chilly, southerly quarter winds before a transition to milder, westerly quarter winds from late in the month into June and July
– Rainfall events will likely occur irregularly
– Temperatures are about equally likely to be near average or above average in all regions. Despite this, a cold start to the three month period is expected in May followed by a possible trend toward milder conditions in June and July.