Subnational
ethnic population projections: 2018(base)–2043 update – information release
5 October 2023
Subnational ethnic population projections
show what the ethnic make-up of each area of New Zealand is likely to be
in future.
Key facts
Subnational ethnic population projections
indicate the future population living in New Zealand’s 16 regional council
areas (regions), 67 territorial authority areas (TAs), and 21 Auckland
local board areas (LBAs), for four broad and overlapping ethnic groups:
‘European or Other (including New Zealander)’, Māori, Pacific, and Asian.
The medium growth projections indicate that
between 2018 and 2043:
- The Māori, Asian, and Pacific ethnic populations
will grow in all regions and TAs. - The ‘European or Other’ ethnic population
will grow in 14 regions and decline in two, and grow in 57 TAs and decline
in 10. - New Zealand will become more ethnically diverse
in 2043 than in 2018 due to slower growth of the ‘European or Other’
population compared with other ethnic groups.
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