Source: MetService
Covering period of Thursday 6 – Monday 10 November –
- Warmer temperatures than average for almost everyone for the next few days
- Possibility of thunderstorms for parts of the North Island over the weekend
- Rain for the South Island and lower North Island on Monday.
MetService is forecasting warmer temperatures for the rest of the week, as high pressure persists over parts of the country. Most locations will be warmer than average for November, with some notable standouts. MetService meteorologist Alwyn Bakker states, “Christchurch should be the warmest of the main centres today (Thursday), with their high of 28°C soaring over their average November maximum of 19.4°C, while Ashburton and Kaikōura won’t be far behind with 27°C and 26°C maximums respectively.”
That summery feel won’t be all sunshine, however. “Warmer temperatures increase the chance of afternoon showers triggered by daytime heat through a process called convection. In the same way turning the heat up on a saucepan of water starts it bubbling, heating the air close to the surface makes it rise. If there’s moisture in the atmosphere, convection can trigger showers, even thunderstorms if there’s enough warming at the surface,” explains Bakker. As temperatures ramp up and stay high over the weekend, parts of the North Island are likely to see thunderstorms, especially on Sunday.
Conditions are set to be good for the second T20 between the Black Caps and the West Indies at Eden Park tonight. “Northeasterly winds will be dying out, and although there’s the chance of a shower in the region, it’s unlikely the stadium will be affected,” Bakker predicts.
Looking ahead to the start of next week, rain and strong winds are possible as a front is expected to move up the South Island and onto the lower North Island on Monday. “While it’s too early to talk about Watches and Warnings for this event, there is a possibility that some may be issued for the Westland ranges and northern Fiordland,” cautions Bakker.
