The latest Essential Report Aotearoa New Zealand has been published at essentialreport.co.nz.
Key insights include:
· On these results, NZ First would hold the balance of power after the election.
· Although New Zealanders are unsure about NZ First having the balance of power, they are broadly comfortable with the idea of coalitions.
· Support for Labour and NZ First has increased over the last month, while support for ACT has fallen.
Topics in the October Essential Report:
· The mood
· The Vote (including ‘undecided’)
· MMP Seat Allocation (excluding ‘undecided’)
· NZ First holding the balance of power
· Opinions of Leaders
· Opinion of Chris Hipkins
· Opinion of Chris Luxon
· Reaction to coverage
· Following NZ politics in the media
· Current financial circumstance
Essential Research is a member of Research Association New Zealand (RANZ) and abides by:
· The RANZ Code of Practice (which can be found here
https://essentialreport.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/RANZ-Code-of-Practice-2023.pdf) and,
· The New Zealand Political Polling code (which can be found here
https://essentialreport.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/RANZ-Political-Polling-Code-2020-FINAL.pdf).
The Essential Report differs from many regular political polls in that it does not exclude respondents who are unsure of their voting intention.
This means that its party vote figures are not directly comparable to other polls which do. For such comparisons, it is necessary to include reference to this unsure figure, which is currently at 5%.
Unsure respondents are excluded from the calculation for MMP seat allocation.
Read Essential Managing Director Peter Stahel’s analysis in the Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2023/oct/11/despite-warnings-of-chaos-new-zealand-is-poised-to-abandon-majority-government
You can read the Essential Report NZ Methodology Disclosure Statement here.
