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Source: MIL-OSI Submissions

Net migration eases back towards 2015 level – 

21 September 2018

Annual net migration was down 8,800 (to 63,300) in the August 2018 year when compared with the August 2017 year, Stats NZ said today.

This is the lowest August year since 2015. Net migration is continuing to ease from the record high of 72,400 in the year ended July 2017.

Migrant arrivals were 129,100 and migrant departures were 65,800 for the latest year.

“The number of migrant arrivals in August was only slightly lower than in August 2017, so it was the increase in the number of departures that led to the fall in net migration.” population insights senior manager Brooke Theyers said.

“This is consistent with what we’ve seen in previous months, with the fall in net migration being driven more by increases in migrant departures than decreases in migrant arrivals.”

Migrant departures to Australia still historically low

Migrant departures for New Zealand citizens were up 600 for the year ended August 2018, to 34,200. Of these, 20,900 were to Australia.

This increase in departures was accompanied by a fall in the number of citizens returning to New Zealand from Australia, which led to a net outflow of 1,200 migrants.

Text alternative for Permanent and long-term migration to/from Australia, year ended August 2018.

“New Zealand’s net migration with Australia is typically negative so dropping below zero is not unusual.” Mrs Theyers said.

“Historically, New Zealand citizen departures have been much higher. For example, in 2012 there were 48,700 New Zealand citizens who departed to Australia, which led to a net migrant loss of 40,000.”

Both 2016 and 2017 had small positive net migration gains with Australia, due to low numbers of New Zealand citizen departures and record numbers of New Zealand citizens arriving (expats returning home).

Departure cards taking flight

From November 2018, travellers leaving New Zealand will no longer need to complete a passenger departure card. This change means the outcomes-based measure of migration, first released in May 2017, will be fully adopted.

To maintain timely statistics, Stats NZ is developing provisional migration estimates; early results were published in August 2018. More information on the statistical model to produce provisional estimates will be published in early October 2018.

Final call for travel departure cards

Defining migrants using travel histories and the ’12/16-month rule’

First look at provisional external migration estimates

Text alternative for Permanent and long-term migration to/from Australia, year ended August 2018

Diagram shows permanent and long-term migration to/from Australia. Arrivals of non-NZ citizens were 9,400, down 1.0 percent; departures of non-NZ citizens were 4,500, up 4.8 percent; this makes the net migration gain of non-NZ citizens 4,900.

Arrivals of NZ citizens were 14,800, down 5.5 percent; departures of NZ citizens were 20,900, up 1.3 percent; this makes the net migration loss of NZ citizens -6,100.

Result is total net migration of -1,200.

Note: Figures may not sum to totals due to rounding. Percentage changes are indicative of the August 2018 year compared with the August 2017 year.

The Government Statistician authorises all statistics and data we publish.

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