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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: NZ’s radical new government of change

By   /  October 22, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Democracy, Elections, Evening Report, governance, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: NZ’s radical new government of change

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: NZ’s radical new government of change Dr Bryce Edwards. Could we be witnessing the beginning of a radical new time in New Zealand politics? The newly announced Labour-NZF-Greens coalition government is certainly starting out by making some rather radical statements and promises. The first radical declaration came […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Signs of a Labour-NZF government

By   /  October 13, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Signs of a Labour-NZF government

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Signs of a Labour-NZF government Dr Bryce Edwards. Is Winston Peters about to announce a Labour-NZ First government? Yesterday I looked at arguments NZ First might be inclined to choose National. Below are recent items laying out the reasons a Labour-led government could be NZ First’s best […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Signs of a National-NZF government

By   /  October 12, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Signs of a National-NZF government

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Signs of a National-NZF government Dr Bryce Edwards. The day has arrived for Winston Peters and New Zealand First to decide which major party to put into power – even if the announcement won’t actually be made today. It really could go either way, but below are […]

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Keith Rankin Analysis: Migration within New Zealand: Evidence from the Election

By   /  October 11, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis Assessment, Analysis-Reportage, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Immigration, Keith Rankin, Lead, Migrants, Migration, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Keith Rankin Analysis: Migration within New Zealand: Evidence from the Election

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Keith Rankin Analysis: Migration within New Zealand: Evidence from the Election Flight to the Fringe. Chart by Keith Rankin.  New Zealand does not have reliable regional population statistics. The intercensal estimates that Statistics New Zealand publish are based on the extrapolation of trends that existed before the most recent census; in […]

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Bryce Edwards’s Political Roundup: Time to scrap or reduce the 5% MMP threshold

By   /  October 9, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Lead, Legal issues, Legislation, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’s Political Roundup: Time to scrap or reduce the 5% MMP threshold

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’s Political Roundup: Time to scrap or reduce the 5% MMP threshold Dr Bryce Edwards. MMP has a major problem – it’s killing off the minor parties. Smaller parties were supposed to revive and shakeup the party system, providing a diverse array of ideological options for voters. Instead, since 1996, […]

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Auckland Population: Evidence from the Election

By   /  October 5, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Immigration, Keith Rankin, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Keith Rankin Analysis – Auckland Population: Evidence from the Election

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Keith Rankin Analysis – Auckland Population: Evidence from the Election Drift South? Graphic by Keith Rankin. Last year I wrote that there is no evidence of disproportionate population growth in Auckland, and even suggested that a number of central Auckland suburbs may be experiencing population decline. (See Immigration, and Immigration and […]

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Bryce Edwards Political Roundup: Alternative coalition scenarios to consider

By   /  October 5, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards Political Roundup: Alternative coalition scenarios to consider

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards Political Roundup: Alternative coalition scenarios to consider Dr Bryce Edwards. Winston Peters seems to be faced with a fairly straightforward choice when it comes to forming a coalition government – he needs to decide between Labour or National. And we’re expecting those parties to throw everything at Peters in […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Peters Problem

By   /  October 3, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Peters Problem

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Peters Problem Dr Bryce Edwards. Is Winston Peters the tail wagging the dog? He’s certainly very powerful in the current post-election coalition negotiation period. Hence the complaints about whether New Zealand First has too much power or, indeed, whether Peters is so problematic this could lead […]

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Keith Rankin Analysis: Election Day versus Advance Voting

By   /  October 3, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Keith Rankin, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Keith Rankin Analysis: Election Day versus Advance Voting

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Keith Rankin Analysis: Election Day versus Advance Voting The Left votes early. Graphic by Keith Rankin. With half of the preliminary (ie non-special) votes being cast before election day 2017, we can glean a clear view about which parties’ supporters are more likely or less likely to vote early. This week’s […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Outrage over the idea of a National-Greens coalition

By   /  September 29, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Outrage over the idea of a National-Greens coalition

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Outrage over the idea of a National-Greens coalition Dr Bryce Edwards. The political left and Green Party supporters are outraged by any notion of the Greens working in government with the National Party. It’s an idea that proposes the Greens use their handful of votes in Parliament […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Why the Maori Party failed

By   /  September 28, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Elections, Evening Report, Lead, Maori, MIL NZ OSI, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Why the Maori Party failed

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Why the Maori Party failed Dr Bryce Edwards. So it’s haere ra to the Maori Party. But some are also saying good riddance. Nowhere is the divide over the Maori Party’s exit from Parliament starker than on social media, where there’s been satisfaction as well as sorrow […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The emotional Maori Party demise

By   /  September 27, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The emotional Maori Party demise

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The emotional Maori Party demise Dr Bryce Edwards. The shock departure of the Maori Party was the only real upset of the election. Some have likened it to a “Maori Brexit”, with voters rebelling against the party in a way that some commentators and politicians are struggling […]

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Get ready for a Labour-NZ First government

By   /  September 25, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Get ready for a Labour-NZ First government

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Get ready for a Labour-NZ First government Dr Bryce Edwards. Everyone seems to be preparing for a National-NZ First coalition government. Even many on the left are expecting this will be the outcome, including some in the Labour Party. The reality is Winston Peters could go either […]

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Analytic Brief: Influence Operations, Targeted Interventions and Intelligence Gathering: A Primer.

By   /  September 24, 2017  /  24/7 News, 36th Parallel Assessments, Analysis Assessment, Analysis-Reportage, Asia Pacific, Evening Report, External Powers, Foreign Affairs, Geopolitics, Intelligence, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, MIL OSI, Pacific Region, Paul G Buchanan, Politics, Security, Weekly Analysis, Weekly Assessment  /  Comments Off on Analytic Brief: Influence Operations, Targeted Interventions and Intelligence Gathering: A Primer.

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Analysis syndicated by 36th Parallel Assessments – Headline: Analytic Brief: Influence Operations, Targeted Interventions and Intelligence Gathering: A Primer. Source: http://logos.nationalinterest.in/2017/01/mind-map-russian-influence-campaign-us-2016-presidential-elections/ Revelations of Chinese influence operations in Australia and New Zealand, and the ongoing sequels to the Russian “interference” in the 2016 US election, have caused outcry and concern amongst policy-makers […]

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Analysis by Keith Rankin – Correcting the Polls

By   /  September 22, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Columns, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Indepth, Keith Rankin, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Analysis by Keith Rankin – Correcting the Polls

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Analysis by Keith Rankin – Correcting the Polls  Watch the ‘Undecideds’. In the Scoop report of the most recent (16-19 Sep) Colmar Brunton political poll, we see the numbers adding up to 112.3%. This innumerate reporting – a result of Colmar Brunton’s own reporting method – represents one of the biggest […]

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Keith Rankin Analysis: New Zealand’s Cyclical Growth Contractions

By   /  September 12, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Economics, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Indepth, Keith Rankin, Lead, MIL NZ OSI  /  Comments Off on Keith Rankin Analysis: New Zealand’s Cyclical Growth Contractions

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Keith Rankin Analysis: New Zealand’s Cyclical Growth Contractions Eight Down. In 1939, Joseph Schumpeter published his magnum opus, Business Cycles. He emphasised three growth cycles, Kitchin (about every three years), Juglar (about every decade) and Kondratiev (about five decades). Of interest to us at present is the Juglar Cycle, with its […]

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VIDEO Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning: Message from America – Climate Change and the Threat of a Korean War: Trumps Defining Moment

By   /  September 8, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis Assessment, Analysis-Reportage, Asia Pacific, Climate, Climate Action, Climate adaptation, Climate Change, Climate crisis, Cyclones, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, MIL OSI, Military Forces, Multimedia Investments Ltd, North Korea, Nuclear Deterrence, Nuclear Non Proliferation, Nuclear War, NZ Politics, Paul G Buchanan, Selwyn Manning, Video, War, Weapons, Webcasts  /  Comments Off on VIDEO Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning: Message from America – Climate Change and the Threat of a Korean War: Trumps Defining Moment

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Message from America – Climate Change and the Threat of a Korean War: Trumps Defining Moment. In this episode Dr Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning discuss Hurricane Irma and its devastating track across the Caribbean and its looming threat on Florida. [embedded content] Will this, the latest in a series […]

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Keith Rankin: New Zealand Net Immigration from 1921

By   /  August 30, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Economics, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Immigration, Indepth, Keith Rankin, Lead, MIL NZ OSI  /  Comments Off on Keith Rankin: New Zealand Net Immigration from 1921

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Analysis by Keith Rankin: New Zealand Net Immigration from 1921 This month’s chart shows the only factual measure of net immigration: total arrivals in New Zealand minus total departures. It measures annual net passenger flows as a percent of resident population, using monthly data. The most recent figure, for the year […]

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Bryce Edwards Analysis: Jacindamania

By   /  August 2, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Bryce Edwards, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Lead, MIL NZ OSI, New Zealand, NZ Politics, Politics  /  Comments Off on Bryce Edwards Analysis: Jacindamania

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Bryce Edwards Analysis: Jacindamania Labour Party leader, Jacinda Ardern. New Labour leader Jacinda Ardern is promising to run an election campaign characterised by “relentless positivity”. And, so far, there’s been an almost relentlessly positive response to her rise to the top. It appears that Ardern’s extraordinary elevation is going to lift […]

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Keith Rankin Analysis: What’s happened to Labour Productivity?

By   /  July 26, 2017  /  24/7 News, Analysis-Reportage, Economics, Editor's Picks, Evening Report, Keith Rankin, Lead, MIL NZ OSI  /  Comments Off on Keith Rankin Analysis: What’s happened to Labour Productivity?

MIL Analysis+Reportage – EveningReport.NZ Keith Rankin Analysis: What’s happened to Labour Productivity? Productivity plummets despite high annual growth. Graph copyright 2017, Keith Rankin. Labour productivity is an important economic concept, that should equate to living standards. It is rising labour productivity that makes it possible to remunerate people with rising incomes. Productivity, by definition, is economic […]

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